Which One Wins-鹿死誰手?
- (聯邦調查局的新調查對最後選情的衝擊)
The US general election campaign is drawing to a close until Nov. 8, 2016. Different polls on the development of presidential election of either candidate keeps voters bewildered or undecided. It seems most of them are in favor of Hilary Clinton, probably with 3-8 % lead.
All of a sudden, on Oct. 28, James Comey, the FBI director shocked the whole world, not US alone by announcing that FBI discovered some new e-mail linked to Hilary’s private e-mail server. And FBI might release the new discovery to the Congress The breaking news really shocked both candidates. The Trump Camp applauded at what FBI is doing, exclaiming with joy that “Justice finally comes.” while Clinton camp felt disgusted and strongly demands the FBI release all mail at one time shot. Should the release be made public day by day or piece by piece, it would certainly kill Hilary.
Now most of voters’ attention is centered on the probability that FBI’s new release will have an overwhelming and adverse impact on the election. Given the fact that Trump is gaining favor in states and in some swing states too, Hilary Clinton’s leading, by contrast seems to be standing still. Will FBI’s announcement and subsequent reaction change the status quo of the campaign?
Since October, it is widely acknowledged that Hilary Clinton stands more chances to be elected. Now came the FBI ‘bombshell’ which might completely alter the outcome of the coming election. Here are some scenarios to be expecting:
1) Notwithstanding Clinton camp’s strong protest, the FBI keeps digging out more e-mail discovery. This will or may influence the decision of major Democrat supporters, especially those belonging to well-educated voters. Overall, this is likely to make Democrats lose the election. (聯調局一意孤行)
2) James Comey, the FBI director halts and discontinues further action of probing into the Clinton’s email and her relation to the case. And then the Clinton’s victory is in sight. Nothing is reversible. And Republicans are losers. (聯調局停止調查)
3) Per Republicans’ reaction to renew probing of Hilary’s e-mail issues, James Comey will be pressed to go on. And as October miracle repeats itself in history, Trump wins the election, to the contrary.
4) For personal political interest, should Trump win, James Comey perhaps will benefit by being endowed with a political favor by Trump. He may be promoted to be Secretary General of Justice. But if Clinton is not affected by the re-opening of the email case, Clinton is elected. To be sure, she will not by any means appoint James Comey as any important government official. Because he really gives her a hard time. If you were Hilary, what would you do?
Based on what is learned from mass media, James Comey is not a very strong-willed person. In July’s testimony at Congress, he already made it clear FBI was not to indict Hilary Clinton. FBI decided to give up doing anything against Hilary. Why did he claim now that he has a new discovery just right several days before the election? This is against law- and it is regarded as violating Hatch Act by some lawyer though some others may think otherwise. With only few days in power, the Obama administration still has the authority to exercise to interfere in the FBI’s motive to go on. If there should be nothing new coming out from FBI's reopening the investigation, then FBI will be to blame for the obstruction of the election campaign. FBI is making a fool of itself.
Therefore, we have every reason to believe at this critical moment that James Comey and his FBI do play a key role in the election result. If he insists on keeping Congress informed of latest development, including Hilary’s chief aid-Huma Abedin’s ex-husband, Rep. Weiner, who is under FBI investigation for sexual correspondence with a teen-age girl, then Democrats’ prevailing stance will be gone.
Ever since election campaign, US voters have been bombarded by news media with pros and cons of information about either candidate. Now it’s time for them to know whether their choice is in their favor or not in less than a week. However, it may be some people’s shrewd viewpoints that neither of the candidates is qualified; one is lacking in administrative experience, having prejudice against women, and full of shit, while the other is and will be too busy procuring her riches (corrupt) to “work every single day for Americans.” (as claimed by her). Judging the Clintons filing bankruptcy in 2000 when Bill Clinton left White House, and his daughter, Chelsea Clinton recently bought a new apartment at $5.5 million, some voters actually have difficulty believing the Clintons are a family of decency.
God bless America!
Written By Justin Lai (寫於美國南加州)
10/31/2016
